New online tool helps ranchers forecast operation economics

Aug. 19, 2026

By Mary Hightower
University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture

Fast Facts

(237 words)

DOWNLOAD screenshot, portrait of Mitchell, cattle

Newsrooms: with 'NASS finds pause in decline of U.S. cattle herd numbers,' and 'Reopening southern ports to cattle likely won’t bolster U.S. herd numbers'

FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Ranchers now have a new online tool that allows them to make decisions to ensure the financial health of their cattle operations, looking up to 10 years into the future.

2026-08-03-Beef-Analysis Tool
Screenshot of a beef operation analysis tool developed by Extension Livestock Economist James Mitchell. (UADA image)

A key decision ranchers must make is whether to buy younger cows to replace older or culled cows, or to raise heifers themselves. These heifers are an important genetic building block of the herd.

“Over the last two years or so, I’ve been getting requests to give presentations on the economics of rebuilding a cow herd, based on my own analysis,” said Extension Livestock Economist James Mitchell. “We thought making a publicly available tool that could help with those decisions for producers and lenders evaluating those trade-offs would be a nice addition.”

Mitchell worked with Ryan Loy, his fellow extension economist within the University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture, to create the Beef Cow and Heifer Investment Analysis tool.

Mitchell said the tool is built on net present value, which is the value of a cow as a capital asset that depreciates over time.

The tool also helps ranchers anticipate “the stream of income an asset is expected to provide to the operation over its useful life, answering the question of whether it’s a good investment or not given the operation’s cost structure, lending terms, current cattle prices and what cattle prices are expected to be in the next eight to 10 years,” he said.

To learn about extension programs in Arkansas, contact your local Cooperative Extension Service agent or visit uaex.uada.edu. Follow us on Facebook and Instagram. To learn more about the Division of Agriculture, visit uada.edu. To learn more about ag and food research in Arkansas, visit the Arkansas Agricultural Experiment Station at aaes.uada.edu. 

About the Division of Agriculture 

The University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture’s mission is to strengthen agriculture, communities, and families by connecting trusted research to the adoption of best practices. Through the Agricultural Experiment Station and the Cooperative Extension Service, the Division of Agriculture conducts research and extension work within the nation’s historic land-grant education system. 

The Division of Agriculture is one of 22 entities within the University of Arkansas System. It has offices in all 75 counties in Arkansas and faculty on three campuses. 

Pursuant to 7 CFR § 15.3, the University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture offers all its Extension and Research programs and services (including employment) without regard to race, color, sex, national origin, religion, age, disability, marital or veteran status, genetic information, sexual preference, pregnancy or any other legally protected status, and is an equal opportunity institution. 

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Media Contact: 
Nick Kordsmeier 
nkordsme@uada.edu